Wall Street WARZONE
World War III: The 12-Bomb Equation, Exploding Population times Accelerating Demand minus Scarce Commodities equals New Resources Wars Everywhere!
by Paul B Farrell, JD, PhD
| Discuss | | 6/26/2010

So what’s the biggest time-bomb for Obama, America, capitalism, the world? No, not global warming. Not poverty. Not even peak oil. What is the absolute biggest? One like the trigger mechanism on a nuclear bomb. One that’ll throw a wrench in global economic growth, ending capitalism, even destroying modern civilization. The one that – if not solved soon – renders all efforts to solve all the other problems in the world, irrelevant, futile and virtually impossible. Yes, that one.

News flash: the “Billionaires Club” knows: Bill Gates called billionaire philanthropists to a super-secret meeting in Manhattan last May. Included: Buffett, Rockefeller, Soros, Bloomberg, Turner, Oprah and others meeting at the “home of Sir Paul Nurse, a British Nobel prize biochemist and president of the private Rockefeller University, in Manhattan,” reports John Harlow in the London TimesOnline. During an afternoon session each was “given 15 minutes to present their favourite cause. Over dinner they discussed how they might settle on an ‘umbrella cause’ that could harness their interests.”

The world’s biggest time-bomb? Overpopulation say the billionaires. Too many people! Yes, over-population is the world’s #1 problem. And yet, global governments with their $50 trillion GDP, aren’t even trying to solve the world’s “over-population problem.” G-20 leaders ignore it. So by 2050 the Earth’s population will explode by almost 50%, from 6.6 billion today to 9.3 billion says the UN. And what about those billionaires and their billions? Can they make stop the trend? Sadly no. Only a major crisis, a global catastrophe, a collapse beyond anything prior in world history will do it. Here’s why.

Civilizations collapse fast, crises trigger, leaders clueless

“One of the disturbing facts of history is that so many civilizations collapse,” warns Jared Diamond, an environmental biologist, Pulitzer prizewinner and author of Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed. Many “civilizations share a sharp curve of decline. Indeed, a society’s demise may begin only a decade or two after it reaches its peak population, wealth and power.” Other voices are darker, shrill: “We’re past the point of no return.” “It’s already too late.” “The end is near.” As with Rome’s collapse, it happens fast. Clueless leaders are caught off-guard, like Greenspan, Bernanke and Paulson a couple years ago.

Call it “WWIII—the Population Wars.” A few years ago Fortune analyzed a classified Pentagon report predicting that “climate could change radically and fast. That would be the mother of all national security issues” Population unrest would then create “massive droughts, turning farmland into dust bowls and forests to ashes.” And “by 2020 there is little doubt that something drastic is happening … an old pattern could emerge; warfare defining human life.” War will be the end-game: For capitalism, civilization, earth?

Diamond’s 12-part equation is very simple, fits perfectly with a global warfare scenario: “More people require more food, space, water, energy, and other resources … There is a long built-in momentum to human population growth called the ‘demographic bulge’ with a disproportionate number of children and young reproductive-age people.” And if the “bulge” stops for any reason, game over. Economic “growth” ends, killing capitalism.

So look closely: Diamond’s equation has 12 time-bombs. But note, the first two are the biggest triggers in the formula. The other 10 are derivative variables driving what we call the “WWIII-Population Wars” equation. We’ve expanded on Diamond’s source data.

One.  “WWIII-Population Wars:” the “Over-Population Multiplier”

According to TimesOnline: A few months before the billionaires meeting Gates noted: “Official [UN] projections say the world’s population will peak at 9.3 billion [up from 6.6 billion today] but with charitable initiatives, such as better reproductive healthcare, we think we can cap that at 8.3 billion.” Still, that’s 23% more than today’s 6.6 billion.

Can it be stopped? In a recent special issue of Scientific American, population was called “the most overlooked and essential strategy for achieving long-term balance with the environment.” Why? Population’s the new “third-rail” for politicians. So they ignore it. Yet, if all nations consumed resources at the same rate as America, we’d need six Earths to survive. Unfortunately that scenario is unstoppable. Because by 2050, while America’s population grows from 300 million to a mere 400 million, the rest of the world will explode from 6.3 billion to 8.9 billion, with over 1.4 billion each in China and India.

Two. “WWIII-Population Wars” equation: “Population Impact Multiplier” (More)

“War on Drugs” Doomed? Yes, We’re a “Nation of Addicts,” Addicted to Drugs (& War!) America’s Insatiable Demand is the Problem, Not Mexican Suppliers.
by Paul B Farrell, JD, PhD
| Discuss | | 4/20/2010

Want to know the real reason ”The War on Drugs Is Doomed,” as Mary Anastasia O’Grady says in a Journal column? She’s on the right track: “The first step in dealing with a problem is acknowledging that you have one … Some 7,000 troops now patrol Juárez, a city of roughly one million … Juárez is today a killing field … Yet even militarization has not delivered the peace. The reason is simple enough: The source of the problem is not Mexican suppliers. It is American demand coupled with prohibition.”

Actually, the real problem’s much deeper … deep in our culture, psyche and brains: America is a warring nation. Yes, we love war, any kind. War defines who we are. War makes us feel powerful. Wars solve our ideological problems. War makes special interests very rich. War keeps our self-perpetuating Pentagon war machine eating up about 40% of our national budget.  The same ideology and DNA that drove us into an unnecessary war in Iraq, the “worst foreign policy blunder in American history,” led us into creating a “War on Drugs.” But a war strategy is not working, just the opposite, it’s fueling and accelerating the problem. As O’Grady aptly puts it: “Violence along the border has skyrocketed ever since Mexican President Felipe Calderón decided to confront the illegal drug cartels that operate there.”

Last year my column, “Drug wars: Big Pharma, Afghan, Mexican cartels” got a huge positive response from American police officers who agreed: “The truth is, there is no ‘War on Drugs’ to win, nor to lose, just millions of addicts who need help.” We are a “Nation of Addicts,” and a costly “War on Drugs” down in Mexico won’t solve our addiction problem up here in America, we are wasting enormous taxpayer dollars. In short, until we grow up and drop the macho “War on Drugs” mindset, violence will accelerate, expanding here in America, as we fail to lessen demand. Here’s my analysis from MarketWatch: (More)